demography

Forging new directions in the demographics of religion

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Written by Jessie Saeli, edited by Nicole R. Smith and Rachel J. Bacon Modeling Religious Change combines demography, the scientific study of religion, and computational models to create simulations of religious change in the USA, Norway, and India. Our research tackles the challenge of creating more accurate projections of religious change in populations by taking account of multiple dimensions of religiosity. Building on our previous projects and traditional methods of creating …

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Adapting Cohort-Component Methods to a Microsimulation: A case study

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Ivan Puga-Gonzalez, Rachel J. Bacon, David Voas, F. LeRon Shults, George Hodulik, Wesley J. Wildman Abstract Social scientists generally take United Nations (UN) population projections as the baseline when considering the potential impact of any changes that could affect fertility, mortality or migration, and the UN typically does projections using the cohort-component method (CCM). The CCM technique is computationally simple …

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Can we measure (and predict) religious change?

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Written by Jessie Saeli, edited by Nicole R. Smith and Rachel J. Bacon We can’t predict the future, but we want to get closer The year is 2050. Although millions of Europeans and North Americans have abandoned Christianity and become nonreligious, the share of nonreligious people worldwide has decreased in comparison to increases in Christian, Muslim, and Hindu populations. …

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